Romney and the 47%

September 18, 2012

In case you haven’t seen it:


Romney: “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right, there are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it. That that’s an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.

“These are people who pay no income tax. Forty-seven percent of Americans pay no income tax. So our message of low taxes doesn’t connect.”

So who are these 47% of no-income-tax-paying Americans that Mitt Romney has given up on? Well, from the Atlantic, the following map shows the percent of people, by state, who pay no income tax. The 10 highest states are in red, the 10 lowest in blue, the middle ones in white.

And from my previous post, the electorate map from the 2008 election. Red states republican, blue states democrat.

Of the 10 worst states, only two voted democratic in 2008. Eight, or 80%, voted republican.

So I ask again: who in fact are these 47% of no-good, irresponsible, hapless, govt-dependent, un-American, food-entitled freeloaders??

Mitt Romney’s base.

(O the irony…)

Advertisements

One Response to “Romney and the 47%”

  1. Nas Says:

    Derek Thompson at The Atlantic: http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/09/the-most-misleading-part-of-the-47-total-us-taxes-are-barely-progressive/262536/ :
    > The easiest thing to say about this map is that “non-payers” ironically seem more likely to vote Republican and “payers” seem more likely to vote Democratic. But we can’t say that for two reasons.
    > The first reason is that low income earners are much more likely to vote Democratic, even within Republican states. In 2008, Obama lost Georgia by 5 percentage points but he won 70% of voters who earned less than $30,000 — which is precisely the demo most likely to owe no federal income tax. Obama lost Mississippi by 14 percentage points, but picked up 66% of voters who earned less than $30,000. As a general rule, Republicans win among richer voters — both in the red states and the blue.
    > The second factor that complicates our efforts to determine how the 47% vote is that this group is divided between older people and poorer working families. Older people vote in higher numbers. But families earning less than $20,000 voted 30% less than the national average, while households earning more than $150,000 were 30% more likely to vote than average. That data and more is in the Wikimedia Commons graph below. [Editor’s aside: Voter turnout is also highly correlated with variables like race, but I don’t have data on the 47% broken down by those demographics.]


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: